Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.454536 0.503082 0.555308 0.615780 0.684009 0.758762 0.847074
2025-06-08 0.372765 0.438972 0.515494 0.610947 0.727472 0.865917 1.044077
2025-06-15 0.330482 0.405470 0.496388 0.615673 0.769435 0.962833 1.227465
2025-06-22 0.294036 0.372507 0.471297 0.606234 0.787975 1.027473 1.372324
2025-06-29 0.266861 0.347391 0.452075 0.600104 0.807236 1.091619 1.520144
2025-07-06 0.237949 0.316777 0.422008 0.575181 0.796528 1.111233 1.604397
2025-07-13 0.224377 0.305377 0.416383 0.582694 0.830933 1.196597 1.793100
2025-07-20 0.212373 0.294911 0.410776 0.589045 0.863257 1.280816 1.988386
2025-07-27 0.201781 0.285454 0.405556 0.594988 0.894725 1.365745 2.193523
2025-08-03 0.191555 0.275650 0.398856 0.597711 0.920775 1.443720 2.395131
2025-08-10 0.183183 0.267918 0.394518 0.603423 0.951595 1.531696 2.623667
2025-08-17 0.171130 0.253734 0.379206 0.590173 0.949535 1.563330 2.753361
2025-08-24 0.164814 0.248172 0.377184 0.598794 0.985841 1.666135 3.031239
2025-08-31 0.156156 0.238371 0.367749 0.594274 0.998886 1.728722 3.239911
2025-09-07 0.150133 0.232357 0.363941 0.598841 1.028149 1.823449 3.524665
2025-09-14 0.141970 0.222336 0.352821 0.589700 1.031344 1.868796 3.712351
2025-09-21 0.135066 0.213979 0.343931 0.583762 1.039806 1.924831 3.929927
2025-09-28 0.125488 0.200615 0.325716 0.559621 1.011400 1.904498 3.975140
2025-10-05 0.121967 0.197325 0.324665 0.566899 1.044593 2.012553 4.327662
2025-10-12 0.118486 0.193891 0.323116 0.573052 1.075951 2.119812 4.693889
2025-10-19 0.115157 0.190527 0.321459 0.578808 1.106886 2.229210 5.081658
2025-10-26 0.111566 0.186496 0.318338 0.581445 1.131476 2.327082 5.455308
2025-11-02 0.108601 0.183422 0.316767 0.586977 1.162591 2.442809 5.893656